Power meters from wheel on trainers are not super accurate in general. Are you using an external power meter? If so this is likely more accurate than the one built into the trainer. But in general “trusting accuracy” is not so important because the relatively small differences don’t have much or any impact on your actual training.
Cycling math vs your physical body on any given day is not necessarily a high level of precision as far as the exact training benefit goes. If you slept really well last night your body might benefit from slightly harder training and if you slept worse it might benefit from a little less. These are generalizations and not universally true.
I would say what you are doing looks great and don’t worry about it Don’t kill yourself in training, gradually increase intensity over time, the last 6-8 weeks before peak season or an important event should be hard, and can border on very hard. I suggest you save killing yourself for times when it is fun, usually this means outdoors with some friends or a race. Don’t kill yourself too early too often and you will be good.